Weekend Surf Forecast 3rd March

Report Date: Friday 03 march 2017

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Summary

Continuous average-quality swell, windy in many places

Best bet

Northwest Spain

Synopsis at 00:00 UTC

Today’s chart shows a complex band of low pressure stretching across the north of the north Atlantic, with centres just southwest of Ireland and over Newfoundland, and a moderate to strong westerly fetch north of the Azores. The Newfoundland centre is forecast to move east and deepen over the next few days. There is high pressure southwest of the Azores, expanding slowly eastwards. The upper airstream is fairly straight and meanderless with a southerly-orientated jet. Local pressure gradients are moderate in most places.
NAO index (large positive values usually mean potentially good surf): +15 mb

Area forecasts

Southwest Wales

Friday:
Poor-quality mostly wind-driven swell, up to about three or four feet, with fresh gusting strong southerly winds

Saturday:
A longer-period component mixes with the residual swell, averaging around four feet or so, with fresh becoming strong west-northwest winds

Sunday:
The mixed swells continue, small at first but then picking up to five or six feet at exposed spots later, with fresh gusting strong west-northwest winds

North Devon and Cornwall

Friday:
Average-quality swell, around five feet or so at exposed spots in the west, with fresh southerly winds, gusting strong later

Saturday:
Winds pick up to strong or gale-force westerlies, and wave heights pick up to well over six feet and very lumpy

Sunday:
Winds swing west-northwest, gale or severe gale, with a large wind-driven swell perhaps hitting ten feet at exposed spots in the far west

South Coast of England

Friday:
Lumpy windseas around four or five feet at exposed spots, driven by fresh to strong southerly winds

Saturday:
The swell picks up to five feet or more at first, before dropping steadily, with strong southwest winds veering west late afternoon

Sunday:
Wave heights drop to around three feet, with strong southerly winds at first veering northwest around the middle of the day

East coast of England

Friday:
Small, good-quality north swell, around three feet or so at exposed spots, with moderate southerly winds at first, swinging east later

Saturday:
The north swell continues, around three feet at exposed spots, with fresh gusting strong southeast winds

Sunday:
The swell weakens and becomes mixed, dropping below three feet in most places apart from the north of the area, with fresh southwest winds decreasing later

North Coast of Scotland

Friday:
Smallish, quite good quality northwest swell, around four feet or so at exposed spots, with light winds from a northerly quarter

Saturday:
The swell drops and becomes swamped by windseas generated by strong to gale-force northeast winds; wave heights around five feet or so later

Sunday:
Wave heights drop to below three feet in many places, with strong easterly winds, veering southeast during the day

Northwest Ireland

Friday:
Smallish, good quality west swell, up to four or five feet at westerly exposures, smaller elsewhere, with moderate then fresh northeast winds

Saturday:
The west swell continues, dropping to below four feet by afternoon, with local windseas at many spots generated by strong northerly winds

Sunday:
A much longer period swell arrives from the west, around four or five feet at exposed spots, by hampered in many places by fresh westerly winds

Southwest Ireland

Friday:
Average quality west and northwest swells mixed, around six feet or so at exposed spots, with fresh northerly winds

Saturday:
Winds pick up to strong perhaps gale-force northwest, and wave heights pick up to a lumpy eight to ten feet

Sunday:
A longer-period swell arrives but is mostly swamped by windseas generated by strong to gale-force westerly winds; wave heights perhaps exceeding ten feet at exposed spots

Southwest France

Friday:
Poor-quality swell, around five feet or so, with strong southerly winds veering west later

Saturday:
Wave heights pick up to around ten feet or so, with very lumpy conditions in strong westerly winds

Sunday:
The poor conditions continue, with fresh to strong southwest winds veering west later, and wave heights around six to eight feet and lumpy

North coast of Spain – east of Gijón

Friday:
Average-quality swell, around four or five feet, with fresh southerly winds in the morning, veering west or northwest in the afternoon

Saturday:
Winds pick up to strong westerlies, and wave heights pick up to over eight feet and very lumpy

Sunday:
The poor-quality swell continues, around six to eight feet, with strong southwest winds veering west then northwest throughout the day

North coast of Spain – west of Gijón

Friday:
Average-quality, mixed swell and windseas, around five or six feet at exposed spots, with fresh west-southwest winds gusting strong for a while

Saturday:
The swell picks up a bit from the northwest, up to eight feet or so, with lumpy conditions in many places in fresh westerly winds

Sunday:
The swell continues, around six feet or so and quite mixed, with conditions cleaning up in light westerly winds

Northwest Galicia

Friday:
Lumpy swell accompanied by windseas generated by strong westerly winds; wave heights up to about nine or ten feet at exposed spots

Saturday:
The swell becomes a bit more lined up from the west, around eight feet or so, with moderate to fresh winds from a westerly quarter

Sunday:
The swell continues, perhaps hitting ten feet at westerly exposures, with fresh westerly winds at first, decreasing and backing southwest later

*Portugal – north of Lisbon *

Friday:
Poor-quality swell and windseas, picking up to ten feet or more later, with strong westerly winds

Saturday:
The swell becomes a bit more lined up, exceeding ten feet at exposed spots at first, with fresh winds from a northerly quarter

Sunday:
Conditions deteriorate again as winds change to fresh westerlies, and wave heights up to about nine or ten feet at westerly exposures

*Portugal – south of Lisbon *

Friday:
Largish, very lumpy swell, picking up to well over ten feet at exposed spots later, with strong perhaps gale-force westerly winds

Saturday:
The swell hits 15 feet overnight, then drops steadily during the day, with conditions still very lumpy in strong northwest winds, decreasing later

Sunday:
Wave heights drop to about eight feet then remain steady, with slightly cleaner conditions in moderate westerly winds