Weekend Surf Forecast - 3rd Feb

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Summary
Large, long-period swell hits mid and southern areas, with stormy conditions in many places

Best bet

Northwest Spain

Synopsis at 00:00 UTC

Today’s chart shows a complex area of low pressure covering most of the northern half of the North Atlantic, with a westerly fetch generating some large swell for west and northwest facing spots. There is a peripheral centre just near Galicia, quickly moving into the Bay of Biscay with a very tight pressure gradient on its southern flank producing some stormy conditions in northern Iberia. Local pressure gradients in other areas are also quite strong, except for the very far south. The upper airstream at the moment is strong and meanderless with a fairly southerly-orientated jet.
NAO index (large positive values usually mean potentially good surf): +40 mb

Area forecasts

Southwest Wales

Friday:
Large, long-period swell, bumpy at first but cleaning up later, up to ten feet at exposed spots, with moderate to fresh northwest winds

Saturday:
The swell drops to about six or seven feet at exposed spots and loses quite a bit of punch, and winds become moderate southerlies

Sunday:
The swell continues to weaken, averaging around four or five feet, and winds swing northwest, moderate to fresh

North Devon and Cornwall

Friday:
Very large, long-period swell accompanied by local windseas generated by strong west-northwest winds; wave heights up to 15 feet at exposed spots in the far west

Saturday:
The swell drops to around eight feet or so at exposed spots, and winds become moderate southerlies, backing southeast and increasing later

Sunday:
The swell drops another notch then holds at around six feet or so at exposed spots, and winds become strong north-westerlies

South Coast of England

Friday:
Largish, long-period swell mixed with local windseas generated by strong to gale-force southerly winds; wave heights up to six feet or so at exposed spots

Saturday:
Winds drop to light southerlies for most of the day, with some residual swell around four feet or so and clean

Sunday:
The swell continues, averaging around three or four feet, with fresh northwest winds

East coast of England

Friday:
Smallish, poor-quality southeast swell, up to three or four feet at exposed spots in the north of the area, smaller elsewhere, with fresh gusting strong south-southeast winds

Saturday:
The swell drops to below three feet in most places, and winds are moderate southwest, gradually backing south during the day

Sunday:
Winds change to fresh northeast, generating some poor-quality swell from the northeast, up to about three or four feet at exposed spots

North Coast of Scotland

Friday:
Long-period west swell struggles to reach most spots, perhaps up to two or three feet at swell-magnets, with strong to gale-force southerly winds

Saturday:
The small west swell continues, around two or three feet at exposed spots and more consistent, with fresh gusting strong south then southwest winds

Sunday:
The small swell continues, struggling to exceed three feet in most places, with moderate to fresh southerly winds

Northwest Ireland

Friday:
Long-period west swell, up to ten feet or so at westerly exposures, smaller elsewhere, with fresh gusting strong south-southwest winds

Saturday:
The west swell continues, dropping to about eight feet at westerly exposures, with moderate to fresh southerly winds

Sunday:
The swell weakens and drops to around five or six feet at westerly exposures, with fairly clean conditions in light southwest then west winds

Southwest Ireland

Friday:
Large, long-period swell, exceeding 15 feet at exposed reefs particularly at first, with local windseas generated by fresh gusting strong west-southwest winds

Saturday:
The swell drops to around eight to ten feet at exposed spots, and winds are moderate south veering southwest in the afternoon

Sunday:
The swell deteriorates in quality but holds at around eight to ten feet, with fresh west-northwest winds

Southwest France

Friday:
Very large, long-period swell, perhaps hitting 20 feet at exposed reefs, but with gale-force southwest winds at first quickly becoming strong then fresh westerlies

Saturday:
The swell drops steadily, down to around ten feet or so by afternoon, with moderate gusting fresh or strong southerly winds

Sunday:
Winds pick up to gale-force west-northwest and wave heights pick up to a very stormy 15 feet or so, not really surfable

North coast of Spain – east of Gijón

Friday:
Very large, long-period swell, exceeding 20 feet at exposed reefs, particularly at first, but hampered by fresh to strong westerly winds for most of the day

Saturday:
The swell drops and becomes weaker, around eight to ten feet by afternoon, with good wind conditions in light southerlies gusting fresh at first

Sunday:
Winds veer to gale-force northwest and wave heights pick up to 15 feet or so and extremely lumpy

North coast of Spain – west of Gijón

Friday:
Large, long period west swell mixed with large local windseas, exceeding 15 feet at exposed spots, with strong gusting gale-force west-southwest winds

Saturday:
The swell drops quite fast, down to around eight to ten feet on average, with strong gusting gale-force southwest winds veering west later

Sunday:
More swell arrives from the west, exceeding ten feet at exposed spots, with fresh to strong west-northwest winds

Northwest Galicia

Friday:
Very large swell and windsea, well over 20 feet at exposed spots at first, with strong to gale force west or southwest winds, perhaps reaching storm force for a while later

Saturday:
The swell drops a notch then remains steady at around 15 feet, with strong to gale-force west-southwest winds

Sunday:
More swell arrives, pushing wave heights over 15 feet at first before dropping, with fresh northwest winds veering west later

Portugal – north of Lisbon

Friday:
Very large west-northwest swell, exceeding 20 feet at exposed spots, with local windseas generated by strong gusting gale-force southwest winds

Saturday:
The swell drops to around 12 to 15 feet, and winds continue strong to gale-force southwest, gradually veering west

Sunday:
More swell arrives from the northwest, exceeding 15 feet at first, but with generally poor conditions in fresh to strong northwest winds

Portugal – south of Lisbon

Friday:
Large, long-period swell, exceeding 15 feet at exposed reefs, with fresh to strong southwest winds

Saturday:
The swell drops to around 12 feet or so then remains fairly steady, with fresh to strong west-southwest winds

Sunday:
The swell continues, perhaps picking up to over 12 feet at exposed spots, with fresh northwest winds decreasing moderate later